Why Is Ukraine's EU Accession Beneficial for Germany?

Friday, 29 December 2023

Germany currently is in the second place in terms of military assistance to Ukraine and leads in promoting the idea of its EU accession. Two years of full-scale war have fundamentally changed Berlin's attitude towards Ukraine.

Even more remarkable are the changes in the position of Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who played a decisive role in "taming" Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán regarding the opening of EU accession negotiations with Ukraine.

What guided Scholz? Are the changes in Germany irreversible? Is there a risk of a change in power in Germany towards an anti-Ukrainian stance?

Read more on all these matters in the article by the European Pravda editor, Sergiy Sydorenko, who spoke with German political scientist and expert Serhiy Sumlenny – Another Olaf Scholz: How Ukraine helps Germany reclaim the role of European leader.

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The current Chancellor of Germany indeed has the image of an indecisive politician. Although in reality, he has always been a person capable of making decisions. There have been no changes in his activities. His style in addressing issues is just different from what many would prefer.

Olaf Scholz's strength lies in his ability to engage in very powerful behind-the-scenes work, in the positive sense of the word. When private negotiations and agreements yield results.

That's why he became the Federal Chancellor of Germany.

We this precisely on 14 December in the story with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán.

You may ask, why didn't this work in favour of Ukraine before?

The point is that Scholz also privately tried to negotiate with Putin, but behind-the-scenes negotiations of this kind do not work with Putin. Because Putin simply does not adhere to agreements.

The question is: why did the German Chancellor manage to negotiate with Orbán? Why did the pro-Russian leader of Hungary, unlike Putin, yield to pressure?

Because despite all the problems, Viktor Orbán still remains a European politician, he is "one of us."

On top of that, Hungary is not a country that poses a massive threat to the European Union. This story once again proved that when Orbán is isolated, his blockade can be overcome.

Why is Ukraine's EU accession beneficial for Germany and German elites? It increases the power of the European economy, as it adds an additional 40 million people. Ukraine is a vast economic, agricultural, and industrial base, a market that will help the EU grow.

Germans want to invest and profit from the rapid growth of the Ukrainian economy.

Are there threats of the formation of an anti-Ukrainian coalition in Germany? They are minimal.

The Christian Democratic Union (the former party of Angela Merkel) remains the leader in the polls. They are friendly to Ukraine.

All parties of the current coalition, the Social Democrats, the Greens, and the Liberals, are also friendly to Ukraine.

And none of these parties considers an alliance with the far-right, anti-Ukrainian party Alternative for Germany (AfD).

Instead, there is another risk: AfD begins to capture local power. In many local parliaments, the far-right can block or strongly influence the work.

Overall, how Germany will continue to support Ukraine at the government and parliamentary levels depends on how German citizens view the Ukrainian liberation war and Ukrainians in general.

And German citizens maintain this support! It is clear from the level of donations from Germans to support Ukraine and the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

There are also no negative trends in their attitude towards Ukrainian refugees and displaced persons, although Russian forces try to spread such opinions.

Instead, a significant danger is in something else. German cities are often interested in ensuring that these refugees stay in Germany and do not return to Ukraine after the war.

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