Who Can Prevent Victory of Anti-ukrainian Forces in Slovak Elections?

Friday, 15 September 2023

In just two weeks, September 30, early parliamentary elections will take place in Slovakia. They could significantly influence the country's internal and external policies.

EuroPravda has already published an article about the pre-election dynamics in Slovakia.

In a new article, EuroPravda editor Yurii Panchenko focuses on the key politicians in the country and possible formats for the future coalition. For more details, read the article Preventing Pro-Russian Revanche: Who Will Determine Slovakia's New Government?

Currently, at least three political forces openly espouse anti-Ukrainian slogans and have a chance to enter the parliament.

First, the Smer-SD party, led by former Prime Minister Robert Fico, is leading the polls with 19.4%.

Their ally in the first place could be the Slovak National Party, led by former Speaker Andrej Danko.

The third Slovak party that can be considered anti-Ukrainian is the Republic party. It is the only political force that calls to stopp sending weapons to Ukraine in its pre-election advertising campaign. The Republic party also advocates for Slovakia's withdrawal from NATO.

However, an alliance with neo-Nazis for Fico is only possible if other coalition formats with Smer-SD do not work out. An alternative option is a minority government by Fico, which would rely on the votes of MPs from te Republic party.

There are still parties that support Ukraine (or do not advocate for Russia) but may enter into a coalition with Smer-SD.

The Voice party, led by former Prime Minister Peter Pellegrini, is currently in the third place with 15.1%. Therefore, the decision of the Voice party regarding which bloc to join could be decisive for the format of the future coalition.

People who know Pellegrini well describe him as a fairly pro-Western politician who does not fall for Russia.

The chance of Voice joining a coalition with Smer-SD is highly likely.

Another potential partner for Fico is We Are Family, led by current Speaker Boris Kollar (5.2%). This is more of a political technology project.

Furthermore, there is a party with which both Smer-SD and pro-Western forces refuse to build a coalition – OL'ANO, led by Igor Matovič (7%).

To stop the victory of the anti-Ukrainian Fico, the Progressive Slovakia party, one of the co-founders of which is the current President Zuzana Čaputová, may play a significant role.

Being outside of parliament has worked in favour of this political force. The party, led by Michal Šimečka, has not been involved in conflicts within the coalition and currently is in the second place with 15.1%.

However, other forces with similar views on foreign policy must also enter parliament to form a coalition.

Among them is the Democrats party led by former Prime Minister Eduard Heger. The chances of this party passing into parliament significantly influence the prospects of forming a pro-Western coalition.

Another party that could enter such a coalition is the Freedom and Solidarity party led by Richard Sulík (7.4%). Sulík is known as a good economist but has "skeletons in the closet," even two.

Finally, the Christian Democratic Movement, one of the oldest parties in Slovakia, has a high chance of returning to parliament (6%). This conservative political force is generally pro-Ukrainian in its foreign policy stance.

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